Fiscal Policy, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth: Some Evidence from Pakistan

Authors

  • Muhammad Ali Gardezi
  • Khawaja Asif Mehmood
  • Farzana Munir
  • Aurangzaib

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54183/jssr.v2i3.95

Keywords:

Fiscal Policy, Institutional Quality, GDP, Engle Granger, Error Correction Model

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to look at the link between fiscal policy, institutional quality, and economic growth in Pakistan. The research employs time series data spanning twenty-five years, from 1996 to 2020. The ADF unit root test is used to verify variable stationarity, the Engle Granger technique is used for cointegration dynamics, and the Error Correction model is used for short term relationships. Overall, the findings demonstrate that both productive and wasteful government spending have a favorable influence on economic growth in the short and long run. In the short and long run, institutional quality has a favorable influence on economic growth. While inflation has a short-term favorable influence on economic growth, but it has a long-term negative impact. The findings suggest that the government should distinguish between productive and unproductive spending and increase investment on productive businesses. The government should place a greater emphasis on improving institutions in order to achieve long-term economic growth.

Author Biography

  • Khawaja Asif Mehmood

     

     

References

Abbadi, S. M., Olabi, M., Owida, H., & Shuku, A. A. (2021). The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in Palestine. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 13(8), 1-51. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v13n8p51

Abdullah, H., Habibullah, M. S., BAHARUMSHAH, A. Z., & Hui, T. B. (2007). Long-Run Relationship Between Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Asia: Evidence Using Pedroni’s Cointegration Approach. Malaysian Management Journal. 11(1&2), 49–67 https://doi.org/10.32890/mmj.11.1-2.2007.8947

Abdullah, H., Yien, L. C., & Khan, M. A. (2019). The impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries. International Journal of Supply Chain Management, 8(1).

Abu Hasan, Md. ‬. (2016). The Relative Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal ‬Policies on Economic Growth in Bangladesh‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬. Economics, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20160501.11

Arvin, M. B., Pradhan, R. P., & Nair, M. S. (2021). Are there links between institutional quality, government expenditure, tax revenue and economic growth? Evidence from low-income and lower middle-income countries. Economic Analysis and Policy, 70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.03.011

Attinasi, M. G., & Klemm, A. (2016). The growth impact of discretionary fiscal policy measures. Journal of Macroeconomics, 49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2016.08.004

Brock, W. A., & Taylor, M. S. (2010). The Green Solow model. Journal of Economic Growth, 15(2). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-010-9051-0

Chu, T. T., Hölscher, J., & McCarthy, D. (2020). The impact of productive and non-productive government expenditure on economic growth: an empirical analysis in high-income versus low- to middle-income economies. Empirical Economics, 58(5). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1616-3

Cottarelli, C., & Jaramillo, L. (2013). Walking Hand in Hand: Fiscal Policy and Growth in Advanced Economies. Review of Economics and Institutions, 4(2). https://doi.org/10.5202/rei.v4i2.113

Ge, J. (2012). Growth with Optimal Taxation and Public Spending Composition. Social Sciences in China, 33(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/02529203.2012.650421

Hamza, B., & Milo, P. (2021). Fiscal policy and economic growth: Some evidence from kosovo. Journal of Governance and Regulation, 10(4). https://doi.org/10.22495/jgrv10i4art11

Hodžić, S., Demirović, A., & Bečic, E. (2020). The relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth in CEE countries. Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakultet Au Rijeci, 38(2). https://doi.org/10.18045/zbefri.2020.2.653

Impact of Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in Nigeria. (2019). Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. https://doi.org/10.7176/jesd/10-24-16

Irmen, A., & Kuehnel, J. (2009). Productive government expenditure and economic growth. Journal of Economic Surveys, 23(4). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6419.2009.00576.x

Makhoba, B. P., Kaseeram, I., & Greyling, L. (2019). Assessing the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in South Africa. African Journal of Business and Economic Research, 14(1). https://doi.org/10.31920/1750-4562/2019/v14n1a1

Nawaz, S., & Idrees Khawaja, M. (2019). FISCAL POLICY, INSTITUTIONS and GROWTH: NEW INSIGHTS. Singapore Economic Review, 64(5). https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590816500296

Osuala, A. E., & Jones, E. (2014). Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth of Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 6(6). https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v6n6p203

Perotti, R. (2011). Estimating the Effects of Fiscal Policy in OECD Countries. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.637189

Rexha, D., Bexheti, A., & Ukshini, K. (2021). Impact of the fiscal policy on economic growth: An analytical approach from the Republic of Kosovo. International Journal of Public Sector Performance Management, 7(4). https://doi.org/10.1504/IJPSPM.2021.116385

Saputro, A. R., Sarumpaet, S., & Prasetyo, T. J. (2019). ANALISA PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN KREDIT, JENIS KREDIT, TINGKAT BUNGA PINJAMAN BANK DAN INFLASI TERHADAP KREDIT BERMASALAH. Ekspansi: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan, Perbankan Dan Akuntansi, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.35313/ekspansi.v11i1.1325

SIJABAT, R. (2017). Do Productive Government Expenditures Affect Economic Growth? Evidence from Provincial Governments across Indonesia. Journal of Government and Politics, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.18196/jgp.8149

Stoilova, D., & Todorov, I. (2021). Fiscal policy and economic growth: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe. Journal of Tax Reform, 7(2). https://doi.org/10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.095

Symoom, T. (2018). The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Four South Asian Countries. Eastern Illinois University.

Tan, C. T., Mohamed, A., Habibullah, M. S., & Chin, L. (2020). The Impacts of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Economic Growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978720906066

UGWUANYI, U. B., & UGWUNTA, O. D. (2017). Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Examination of Selected Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarafms/v7-i1/2587

Yusuf, A., & Mohd, S. (2021). Asymmetric impact of fiscal policy variables on economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Finance and Investment. 1- 22 https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2021.1927388

Živkov, D., Kovačević, J., & Papić-Blagojević, N. (2020). Measuring the effects of inflation and inflation uncertainty on output growth in the central and eastern European countries. Baltic Journal of Economics, 20(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/1406099X.2020.1846877

Downloads

Published

2022-09-30

How to Cite

Fiscal Policy, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth: Some Evidence from Pakistan. (2022). Journal of Social Sciences Review, 2(3), 110-118. https://doi.org/10.54183/jssr.v2i3.95